2007 Feb 26 - Mon

Darvas Selections for 2007/02/27

Here are the selections for Tuesday. These lists have the Darvas stop calculated in the second column.

Start: 2007-01-26 High: 2007-02-21 EOD: 2007-02-26 Symbol Stop AFFX 27.01 AKS 22.03 AMP 61.75 ARRS 15.01 ATI 104.51 AUY 15.25 AXL 25.82 BAX 50.32 BG 84.03 BGC 52.46 BGO 6.32 BNI 84.57 CA 25.45 CE 28.71 CHRW 53.50 CORI 4.99 CTV 38.99 DD 52.95 DISH 42.51 DLTR 33.89 EGO 6.20 EMC 14.38 FEIC 33.34 FHN 44.05 FRK 65.85 GIGM 12.80 GILD 73.25 GNW 36.87 GT 25.85 HAS 29.47 HL 8.40 HLTH 15.48 HOLX 57.70 ICE 158.05 JBHT 27.48 JCP 85.68 JOYG 52.94 LWSN 8.44 LYO 32.48 MCK 56.93 MHS 67.57 MOS 26.26 MTW 59.02 NBL 57.06 NOC 74.67 NRG 63.71 NWL 30.55 NWS.A 23.04 PAAS 31.52 PD 124.77 POT 161.00 PWR 23.31 RIO 36.68 RRI 17.06 RSH 23.10 SHLD 187.27 SNE 52.77 SVM 13.50 TEVA 37.76 TRA 17.78 UVN 35.97 VIV 4.02 WIN 15.10 WYN 35.10 XL 73.99

Start: 2007-01-26 High: 2007-02-20 EOD: 2007-02-26 Symbol Stop AET 45.38 ALGN 17.01 ALKS 17.30 AOC 38.95 BAX 50.32 BG 84.03 BGC 52.46 CE 28.71 CERN 53.28 CHRW 53.50 CL 68.56 CNP 18.31 CTB 16.84 CTV 38.99 DD 52.95 DISH 42.51 DLTR 33.89 DTC 9.13 FEIC 33.34 FHN 44.05 FIS 45.80 FRK 65.85 GIGM 12.80 GNW 36.87 GS 219.26 HLT 35.84 HLTH 15.48 ICE 158.05 IR 44.00 JBHT 27.48 JCP 85.68 LWSN 8.44 LYO 32.48 MCK 56.93 MHK 93.12 MOS 26.26 MTW 59.02 NBL 57.06 NOC 74.67 NRG 63.71 NWL 30.55 NYB 17.35 ONNN 10.46 POT 161.00 PRU 92.83 PWR 23.31 PX 64.20 RFMD 8.34 RRI 17.06 RSH 23.10 RTH 106.38 SHLD 187.27 SIMO 21.50 STM 19.92 SVM 13.50 TGT 63.20 TMX 30.75 TRA 17.78 UST 59.44 WYN 35.10 XLP 26.86 XLY 39.99 ZMH 85.94

Start: 2007-01-26 High: 2007-02-16 EOD: 2007-02-26 Symbol Stop AET 45.38 ALGN 17.01 ALKS 17.30 AOC 38.95 ARBA 9.79 BGC 52.46 BSG 13.43 CE 28.71 CL 68.56 DCX 69.80 DD 52.95 DISH 42.51 DTC 9.13 EGO 6.20 EL 48.15 FHN 44.05 FIS 45.80 HAS 29.47 ICE 158.05 IR 44.00 JBHT 27.48 KG 18.66 LWSN 8.44 MCK 56.93 MHK 93.12 MOS 26.26 NBL 57.06 NMX 134.59 NOC 74.67 NOK 23.02 NRG 63.71 ONNN 10.46 OSK 54.77 PD 124.77 POT 161.00 QCOM 41.57 RRI 17.06 SHLD 187.27 SIMO 21.50 SNE 52.77 STI 85.65 TRA 17.78 UTX 68.75 UVN 35.97 VSEA 49.18 WCI 23.64 WHR 95.04 XLP 26.86

[/Trading/Darvas/D200702] permanent link

Darvas Results at EOD 2007/02/26 with EOD Signal of 2007/02/23

In comparison, the Dow Jones Industrial Index opened at 12647, had a higher high of 12697, had a lower low of 12608, and closed down for the day at 12632.

Symbol	#	Open	High	Low	Close	Stop	O->H	O->C
ABC	1	54.90	54.96	53.58	54.02	54.40	0.06	-0.88
ACS	2	54.10	54.26	53.40	53.53	53.44	0.16	-0.57
AET	3	46.06	46.15	45.39	45.86	45.38	0.09	-0.20
AGIX	1	11.52	11.75	11.45	11.57	10.84	0.23	0.05
AKS	1	22.56	22.83	22.27	22.33	22.03	0.27	-0.23
ALGN	3	17.19	17.34	16.92	16.98	17.01	0.15	-0.21
ALKS	2	17.52	17.65	17.34	17.45	17.30	0.13	-0.07
AMT	2	40.25	40.63	40.00	40.44	40.46	0.38	0.19
AOC	2	38.70	39.18	38.57	38.69	38.95	0.48	-0.01
AQNT	1	27.63	27.77	26.97	27.34	28.19	0.14	-0.29
ARBA	2	9.80	9.95	9.66	9.75	9.79	0.15	-0.05
AT	1	63.30	63.88	62.36	62.74	63.01	0.58	-0.56
BAX	2	50.00	50.19	49.71	50.15	50.32	0.19	0.15
BBBY	1	42.72	42.81	42.12	42.45	42.54	0.09	-0.27
BG	1	84.50	85.49	83.57	84.24	84.03	0.99	-0.26
BGC	3	53.25	53.49	51.89	52.13	53.20	0.24	-1.12
BSG	1	13.74	13.75	13.44	13.50	13.43	0.01	-0.24
BUD	1	50.03	50.10	49.56	49.81	51.56	0.07	-0.22
BYD	1	49.01	49.24	48.25	48.62	47.82	0.23	-0.39
CBSS	1	70.33	70.50	70.10	70.27	69.85	0.17	-0.06
CE	3	29.66	29.94	29.45	29.78	28.71	0.28	0.12
CECO	1	30.19	30.29	29.65	29.86	29.85	0.10	-0.33
CERN	2	54.28	54.47	53.61	53.94	53.28	0.19	-0.34
CHRW	1	53.98	54.16	51.89	52.40	53.50	0.18	-1.58
CL	2	68.53	68.76	68.04	68.47	68.56	0.23	-0.06
CNP	1	18.38	18.95	18.32	18.37	17.86	0.57	-0.01
COH	2	50.30	50.38	48.74	48.93	49.45	0.08	-1.37
COST	3	57.92	58.07	56.97	57.40	57.18	0.15	-0.52
CTB	1	16.27	16.37	15.76	15.89	16.33	0.10	-0.38
CTV	2	40.00	40.23	39.22	39.51	37.95	0.23	-0.49
CX	1	36.99	37.07	36.20	36.54	36.37	0.08	-0.45
DCEL	1	9.40	9.57	9.25	9.43	9.09	0.17	0.03
DCX	1	70.82	70.88	70.32	70.57	71.10	0.06	-0.25
DD	3	53.50	53.67	53.01	53.14	52.95	0.17	-0.36
DG	2	17.82	17.84	17.56	17.64	17.54	0.02	-0.18
DISH	2	42.75	42.90	42.24	42.47	42.51	0.15	-0.28
DLTR	2	34.19	34.42	33.82	34.18	33.89	0.23	-0.01
DOW	2	46.42	47.26	44.76	44.99	42.68	0.84	-1.43
DTC	2	8.85	8.98	8.50	8.97	9.13	0.13	0.12
EBAY	1	34.28	34.35	33.07	33.42	33.80	0.07	-0.86
EDS	3	29.02	29.21	28.91	29.13	29.31	0.19	0.11
EEM	2	118.04	118.23	116.57	117.45	116.50	0.19	-0.59
EFA	3	77.16	77.18	76.71	76.72	76.05	0.02	-0.44
EGO	2	6.41	6.45	6.35	6.42	6.20	0.04	0.01
EL	1	47.71	47.75	47.13	47.31	48.15	0.04	-0.40
EXP	1	48.70	48.71	47.98	48.05	48.42	0.01	-0.65
EXPE	1	21.75	21.98	21.48	21.71	21.65	0.23	-0.04
FEIC	1	34.47	34.65	34.00	34.07	34.60	0.18	-0.40
FHN	2	44.72	44.82	43.99	44.33	44.05	0.10	-0.39
FIS	3	47.29	47.32	46.53	46.79	45.80	0.03	-0.50
FISV	3	54.65	55.00	54.04	54.18	54.03	0.35	-0.47
FRK	1	67.80	68.19	67.62	67.99	63.85	0.39	0.19
GIGM	1	13.50	13.70	13.05	13.12	12.80	0.20	-0.38
GNW	1	36.19	36.41	35.90	36.04	36.87	0.22	-0.15
GS	1	217.99	218.37	212.66	214.00	220.51	0.38	-3.99
HAS	2	29.53	29.55	29.15	29.25	29.47	0.02	-0.28
HLT	1	36.85	37.00	35.89	36.13	35.84	0.15	-0.72
HLTH	1	15.42	15.42	14.95	15.03	15.48	0.00	-0.39
HNZ	1	47.21	47.33	46.76	47.01	47.32	0.12	-0.20
HRP	1	13.37	13.39	13.18	13.31	13.49	0.02	-0.06
IACI	1	40.58	40.99	40.52	40.74	39.48	0.41	0.16
ICE	2	163.15	164.98	156.06	157.21	158.05	1.83	-5.94
IP	1	37.42	38.00	37.25	37.46	37.58	0.58	0.04
IR	3	45.50	45.62	44.67	45.11	44.00	0.12	-0.39
JBHT	3	28.08	28.08	26.99	27.12	27.48	0.00	-0.96
JCP	2	84.68	84.68	82.70	83.00	85.68	0.00	-1.68
KG	2	18.72	18.82	18.34	18.43	18.66	0.10	-0.29
KMB	1	69.91	70.10	69.56	69.90	69.97	0.19	-0.01
LWSN	2	8.46	8.50	8.31	8.34	8.44	0.04	-0.12
LYO	1	33.00	33.58	32.34	33.04	32.48	0.58	0.04
MCD	3	46.00	46.15	45.76	45.80	45.00	0.15	-0.20
MCK	3	57.40	58.07	57.12	57.13	56.93	0.67	-0.27
MHK	2	92.80	92.80	89.50	90.80	93.12	0.00	-2.00
MIR	2	38.19	39.00	37.76	38.19	36.69	0.81	0.00
MNST	3	52.57	53.00	51.90	52.37	52.44	0.43	-0.20
MON	1	55.96	56.09	54.59	54.79	56.24	0.13	-1.17
MOS	3	26.88	27.06	26.20	26.40	26.26	0.18	-0.48
MTW	1	63.71	63.96	61.55	61.87	59.25	0.25	-1.84
NBL	3	58.87	59.48	58.38	58.44	57.06	0.61	-0.43
NCC	1	38.25	38.25	38.03	38.16	38.35	0.00	-0.09
NMX	1	137.46	139.39	132.78	132.99	134.59	1.93	-4.47
NOC	3	73.90	74.60	73.39	73.84	75.22	0.70	-0.06
NOK	2	22.86	23.03	22.75	23.03	23.02	0.17	0.17
NRG	2	68.00	70.00	67.30	67.75	61.63	2.00	-0.25
NRPH	1	63.43	63.50	63.30	63.33	61.15	0.07	-0.10
NWL	1	31.56	31.66	31.07	31.10	30.55	0.10	-0.46
NYB	1	17.08	17.34	16.81	16.90	17.35	0.26	-0.18
ONNN	3	10.82	10.88	10.53	10.58	10.46	0.06	-0.24
OSK	1	56.44	57.28	55.21	55.69	54.77	0.84	-0.75
PD	2	126.95	128.00	126.70	127.57	124.77	1.05	0.62
PNC	1	75.70	75.88	75.36	75.66	74.30	0.18	-0.04
POT	2	168.00	168.58	164.50	165.01	161.00	0.58	-2.99
PRU	1	92.45	92.73	91.89	92.37	92.83	0.28	-0.08
PSSI	1	21.56	21.59	21.26	21.39	21.39	0.03	-0.17
PWR	2	23.80	23.94	23.16	23.68	23.31	0.14	-0.12
PX	1	64.98	65.00	64.11	64.24	64.20	0.02	-0.74
QCOM	2	43.26	43.30	42.25	42.65	40.85	0.04	-0.61
RFMD	1	8.54	8.56	8.40	8.47	8.15	0.02	-0.07
RRI	3	17.10	17.74	16.81	17.31	16.18	0.64	0.21
RSH	2	22.79	22.88	22.33	22.45	23.10	0.09	-0.34
RTH	2	105.60	105.67	104.28	105.00	106.38	0.07	-0.60
RYI	1	34.97	35.10	34.27	34.88	34.31	0.13	-0.09
SGMS	1	34.39	34.39	33.49	33.70	33.29	0.00	-0.69
SHLD	2	188.89	189.70	184.69	186.64	187.27	0.81	-2.25
SIMO	2	21.81	22.14	21.60	21.99	21.50	0.33	0.18
SNE	1	52.99	52.99	52.48	52.90	52.77	0.00	-0.09
STI	2	87.00	87.21	86.22	86.75	85.65	0.21	-0.25
STM	1	20.11	20.18	19.99	20.18	19.92	0.07	0.07
SVM	1	13.85	13.90	13.63	13.78	13.50	0.05	-0.07
TEVA	1	37.94	37.95	37.24	37.51	37.76	0.01	-0.43
TEX	2	72.25	72.75	68.35	68.72	68.20	0.50	-3.53
TGT	1	63.12	63.43	62.23	62.55	63.20	0.31	-0.57
TIF	3	42.89	45.98	42.82	45.06	41.48	3.09	2.17
TMX	1	30.67	30.93	30.35	30.54	30.75	0.26	-0.13
TRA	3	18.48	18.63	18.04	18.26	17.78	0.15	-0.22
TRN	3	45.12	45.12	43.82	44.32	44.41	0.00	-0.80
URBN	1	26.38	26.84	25.75	25.81	26.89	0.46	-0.57
URI	1	29.00	29.19	28.76	28.90	28.88	0.19	-0.10
UST	2	60.50	60.50	59.86	59.87	59.44	0.00	-0.63
UTX	2	67.80	68.20	66.80	67.23	68.75	0.40	-0.57
UVN	1	36.04	36.09	35.95	35.96	35.97	0.05	-0.08
VSEA	2	50.39	50.39	48.69	49.61	49.18	0.00	-0.78
WB	3	57.29	57.49	56.67	57.07	58.06	0.20	-0.22
WCI	1	22.00	22.02	21.21	21.44	23.64	0.02	-0.56
WHR	1	93.74	93.96	92.64	93.55	95.04	0.22	-0.19
WLP	2	81.05	81.33	80.61	81.13	81.60	0.28	0.08
WYN	1	35.48	35.62	35.30	35.39	35.10	0.14	-0.09
XLP	3	26.82	26.84	26.70	26.81	26.86	0.02	-0.01
XLY	1	39.85	39.88	39.38	39.51	39.99	0.03	-0.34
YHOO	3	32.80	32.84	30.85	32.12	30.79	0.04	-0.68
ZMH	1	85.70	85.80	85.10	85.37	85.94	0.10	-0.33
131		5918.52					36.14	-62.47

[/Trading/Darvas/D200702] permanent link

Event Logs: Some Stuff To Try At Home

Somewhere in my collection of Monitoring Server Configs, I have some information on getting Cisco syslog stuff into a separate file.

For another customer site, I used Nagios coupled with Steve Shipway's Nagios EventLog agent for Windows to collect specific Windows Events and alarm on them. It was interesting and convoluted experience to get all this working. If there is interest, I'll post my process notes on how I got the whole thing integrated.

Today, or rather originally a week ago, an ISP requested that I forward some router syslog events to them so they could correlate their events with mine, or vice versa, my events with theirs. (ok, contrary to one of my recent articles, some ISP's do see the light of day in troubleshooting, although this same one hasn't quite grasped the IP SLA bonus yet).

Anyway, two routers, the endpoints on an mpls link, in two different regions behind two different firewalls are at issue. The knee jerk reaction is to add a second syslog entry in each router to forward to the ISP's syslog address. This will require, in addition to the second entry in each router, entries in each firewall.

That seemed silly. I thought: why not just forward the syslog entries from the server instead. Well, not so easy with the standard sylogd daemon in Debian.

Some searching lead to a number of interesting alternatives. The one slated for immediate testing is to try BalaBit's syslog-ng where I can forward based upon more refined rules such as host and message content. This is a simple Debian apt-get upgrade. DebianHelp offers some instrucitons for installation and use with php=-syslog-ng. Jeremy Mates's syslog-ng blog discusses some further syslog-ng configuration details. As a sidetrack, his blog also has some stuff for sendmail and other Linux Geek stuff. As a point of reference, one more syslog-ng site is cudeso.be.

Once I've got syslog-ng going, and the cisco log entries forwarded, I'm thinking about stopping event log watching with Nagios and Shipway's thing and instead trying Intersect Alliance's Snare Agent for windows sending syslog events to syslog-ng. I see they also know how to do stuff with Snort Logs, Apache Logs, and others.

Something I see a lot of words about but no real specifics is Splunk. They proclaim to be able to scan and correlate and do queries on logs from many servers. That could be an interesting tool, and free for systems with daily log files under 500M.

[/OpenSource] permanent link

Note To Self: Network Performance Link

Unbelievable. The name slipped my mind. And a simple internet search for my favorite network performance tool, IPerf, becomes an exercise in frustration. Finally. With an indirect hop through Les Cottrell's Network Monitoring Tools List, I was able to track it down.

My problem was that I had IPTraf and couldn't recall the real one I wanted.

Just so I land here again with the appropriate queries, here is what I tried:

• open source ip traffic simulator

While on the subject of network performance, I've noticed that some ISP's like to play deaf, dumb and blind to customer performance issues. Some wireless ISP's have installed central wireless access points that don't provide SNMP access. So when RF and related radio issues hit, they are unable to troubleshoot anything other than through the WAG (Wild Ass Guess) principle.

And for one more performance whine, ... are there any ISP's out there who provide routers that can act as Cisco IP SLA Responders to customer routers? This greatly facilitates link quality testing. However, ISP's seem to be deathly afraid of airing their dirty laundry. One would think that this would, instead, be a positive thing in terms of improving traffic quality, especially at the corporate level.

If you have comments on this, I'd like to hear them over on the forums.

[/OpenSource] permanent link