2007 Feb 15 - Thu

Trading Site of the Day -- Commodity Trader: understanding of the Global Commodity Markets
Commodity Trader is a site specializing in looking at commodities and providing suggestions on what is active, where it is going, and possible things to do with it. News items, as they relate to commodities are also covered. Foreign Exchange coverage is included.

[/Trading/SiteOfTheDay/D200702] permanent link

Trading Site of the Day -- One Option: Option Trading Blog

Pete Stolcers has a blog called OneOption in which he discussed the theory behind option trades as well as showing real trades.

In his February 13 article, he talks about spreads. He discusses when to get in, how to get in, what happens when you are close to an expiry date, and examines some considerations on how to get out. He also discusses how he finds a suitable candidate for a trade.

As part of the analysis, he also examines the overall market situation. By thinking about the general, followed by some fundamental analsysis, he then generates a 'feeling' as to where things might go.

So, by what I just mentioned in the last paragraph, he isn't just a technical analsyst. He does examine each symbol's fundamentals and latest news to help justify his feelings as to where a trading instrument might be heading.

Initial posts to his blog were few and far between. Perhaps he may maintain more frequent posts in the here and now. Anyway, there is useful information there for a practitioner to learn from.

[/Trading/SiteOfTheDay/D200702] permanent link

Darvas Selections for 2007/02/15

Here are the selections for Thursday. These lists have the Darvas stop calculated in the second column.

Start: 2007-01-14 High: 2007-02-08 EOD: 2007-02-14 Symbol Stop AFFX 27.83 AKAM 55.71 ALVR 7.77 AMX 45.76 ANAD 11.40 ANF 82.81 APCC 30.85 ARO 37.06 BEN 121.77 BG 79.85 BGC 48.38 BIG 26.34 CBS 31.91 CHINA 10.63 COH 47.03 CVG 26.50 DIS 34.44 DLTR 33.89 EDS 27.62 EMC 14.38 EXC 62.72 EXPE 21.65 FMCN 85.84 GGP 65.07 GT 25.33 HAS 28.94 HCP 39.60 HTZ 19.95 IACI 39.48 IBN 45.89 IFX 15.68 IP 36.93 ITW 52.21 MA 113.08 MCO 74.82 MET 64.75 MNST 51.39 MRVC 4.19 NKE 100.25 NOC 73.57 NT 29.32 NUAN 12.72 PRU 91.26 RHT 24.47 RMBS 21.49 SINA 34.35 SONS 7.80 TGT 61.13 TIF 40.50 TROW 48.94 UBS 63.33 UIS 9.22 URI 28.25 VNO 132.85 WLP 79.00 WYN 32.65 XEL 24.14 XL 71.56 YHOO 29.88 ZMH 85.00

Start: 2007-01-14 High: 2007-02-09 EOD: 2007-02-14 Symbol Stop AEP 45.41 AGU 37.05 AINV 23.30 AIV 63.41 AL 52.32 AMX 45.76 ARBA 9.79 ARDI 7.42 ATHR 24.80 AVP 38.64 BG 79.85 CBS 31.91 CECO 28.13 CGV 41.39 CHINA 10.63 COH 47.03 CPWR 8.88 CRUS 8.16 DD 51.00 EDS 27.62 EGO 5.80 EXC 62.72 EXPE 21.65 FMCN 85.84 GM 35.99 GT 25.33 HAS 28.94 HTZ 19.95 IRF 42.99 LI 32.50 MA 113.08 MCHP 36.09 MET 64.75 MIR 35.65 MRVC 4.19 NKE 100.25 NUAN 12.72 NVT 35.17 RHT 24.47 SHLD 180.10 SNE 50.39 SONS 7.80 TIF 40.50 TRA 15.82 TSN 18.67 USU 14.78 VRSN 24.71 WYN 32.65 XL 71.56 XLY 39.72 XRX 17.25

[/Trading/Darvas/D200702] permanent link

Darvas Results at EOD 2007/02/14

In comparison, the Dow Jones Industrial Index opened down slightly at 12651, had a higher high of 12759, had a higher low (an all positive day) of 12651, and closed up further at 12741.

If Low is green, then it stayed above the stop level. If Close is green, the symbol closed up for the day.

Start: 2007-01-13
High: 2007-02-07
EOD: 2007-02-13

Symbol	Open	High	Low	Close	Stop	O->H	O->C
ABB	18.66	19.25	18.65	19.13	18.62	0.59	0.47
ACN	38.72	39.25	38.69	39.20	37.86	0.53	0.48
AET	42.60	43.80	42.60	43.64	42.99	1.20	1.04
AFL	47.95	48.02	47.64	47.90	48.71	0.07	-0.05
AMKR	11.41	11.98	11.32	11.76	11.40	0.57	0.35
AMP	61.18	63.07	61.16	62.56	59.35	1.89	1.38
AMT	39.54	40.03	39.50	39.60	39.30	0.49	0.06
AN	23.06	23.08	22.76	23.03	22.56	0.02	-0.03
ANAD	12.12	12.13	11.91	12.10	11.40	0.01	-0.02
ARO	38.21	38.51	37.81	38.40	37.06	0.30	0.19
ATHR	25.69	26.20	25.60	25.79	24.80	0.51	0.10
BEN	123.16	126.00	122.95	125.59	121.77	2.84	2.43
BIG	26.49	26.58	26.29	26.41	26.34	0.09	-0.08
BMC	32.15	32.67	32.02	32.44	35.41	0.52	0.29
CAR	27.00	27.16	26.90	27.05	26.76	0.16	0.05
CECO	29.38	29.49	29.29	29.46	28.13	0.11	0.08
CHINA	10.59	10.88	10.58	10.85	10.63	0.29	0.26
CHKP	24.77	25.03	24.63	24.92	24.43	0.26	0.15
CIT	59.22	60.44	59.03	59.82	58.63	1.22	0.60
COH	48.25	49.58	47.81	49.38	47.03	1.33	1.13
COL	68.45	69.22	68.40	69.22	66.18	0.77	0.77
COST	56.51	57.15	56.34	57.05	54.66	0.64	0.54
CRM	48.90	50.13	48.78	49.88	47.82	1.23	0.98
CROX	53.77	54.53	53.20	53.51	57.32	0.76	-0.26
CX	35.88	37.14	35.72	36.95	36.37	1.26	1.07
DD	51.40	51.89	51.33	51.79	51.00	0.49	0.39
DISH	42.14	42.50	41.93	42.04	41.53	0.36	-0.10
DTV	23.98	24.29	23.86	23.92	24.76	0.31	-0.06
EEM	115.30	117.88	113.85	117.65	116.50	2.58	2.35
EFA	75.66	76.40	75.63	76.32	74.51	0.74	0.66
EXPE	21.68	22.49	21.64	22.27	21.65	0.81	0.59
FHN	43.90	44.35	43.79	43.99	44.05	0.45	0.09
FISV	53.75	54.50	53.65	54.30	51.44	0.75	0.55
GGP	63.59	65.20	63.10	64.72	65.07	1.61	1.13
GIGM	12.20	12.55	12.16	12.39	11.95	0.35	0.19
GILD	70.94	71.74	70.51	71.72	71.92	0.80	0.78
GNW	36.43	36.77	36.31	36.63	36.61	0.34	0.20
GR	49.95	50.78	49.77	50.44	48.39	0.83	0.49
HAS	28.50	29.00	28.45	28.98	28.94	0.50	0.48
HCP	40.25	40.33	39.68	39.83	39.60	0.08	-0.42
HLT	36.61	37.17	36.54	36.82	37.31	0.56	0.21
HON	46.51	47.65	46.20	47.54	45.90	1.14	1.03
HTZ	20.40	21.32	20.28	21.22	19.95	0.92	0.82
IACI	39.90	40.15	39.63	39.85	39.48	0.25	-0.05
IBN	42.24	43.67	42.00	43.61	45.89	1.43	1.37
IFX	15.98	16.24	15.95	16.18	15.68	0.26	0.20
ITW	52.05	52.93	52.02	52.77	50.29	0.88	0.72
JCP	83.44	84.92	83.12	84.59	84.09	1.48	1.15
KEY	39.00	39.49	38.93	39.37	38.97	0.49	0.37
KLIC	9.63	10.00	9.63	9.95	9.09	0.37	0.32
LEH	83.30	84.36	82.77	83.65	84.13	1.06	0.35
LLL	86.17	87.73	86.05	87.62	83.25	1.56	1.45
MCO	71.10	72.18	71.07	71.68	74.82	1.08	0.58
MET	64.30	65.79	64.25	65.34	64.75	1.49	1.04
MIR	35.45	35.97	35.38	35.69	34.61	0.52	0.24
MLS	26.31	26.61	26.05	26.35	26.30	0.30	0.04
MRVC	4.20	4.39	4.18	4.28	4.19	0.19	0.08
NKE	105.20	105.78	104.95	105.38	100.25	0.58	0.18
NOC	74.60	74.96	73.84	74.48	73.57	0.36	-0.12
NT	30.18	30.60	29.94	30.50	29.32	0.42	0.32
NTY	50.90	51.76	50.59	51.20	52.32	0.86	0.30
NUAN	14.25	14.46	14.08	14.40	12.72	0.21	0.15
NYT	25.55	25.97	25.38	25.75	25.69	0.42	0.20
PCAR	70.00	72.36	69.85	72.36	69.72	2.36	2.36
PLCM	33.73	34.19	33.70	34.07	32.43	0.46	0.34
RHT	24.29	25.00	24.02	24.23	24.47	0.71	-0.06
RTN	55.48	55.48	54.95	54.96	53.22	0.00	-0.52
SCUR	8.80	9.14	8.80	9.05	8.84	0.34	0.25
SNV	32.72	33.02	32.63	32.93	32.10	0.30	0.21
SPG	116.60	118.72	115.65	117.73	121.24	2.12	1.13
TGT	62.10	62.60	61.90	62.44	59.88	0.50	0.34
TRN	40.30	41.82	40.25	41.60	39.83	1.52	1.30
TSN	18.75	18.80	18.47	18.62	18.67	0.05	-0.13
UBS	62.57	63.35	62.47	63.31	63.33	0.78	0.74
UIS	9.25	9.28	9.15	9.21	9.22	0.03	-0.04
URI	28.48	28.80	28.35	28.74	28.25	0.32	0.26
VNO	133.90	135.06	132.64	133.91	132.85	1.16	0.01
WLP	80.69	81.29	80.27	80.98	79.00	0.60	0.29
XL	73.00	73.44	72.75	73.10	71.56	0.44	0.10
XLI	36.34	36.78	36.26	36.73	35.96	0.44	0.39
XLY	39.65	39.87	39.58	39.82	39.72	0.22	0.17
YHOO	29.69	30.86	29.64	30.66	29.88	1.17	0.97
ZMH	84.09	84.96	83.92	84.62	85.00	0.87	0.53
	3775.55					59.88	38.89

Start: 2007-01-13
High: 2007-02-08
EOD: 2007-02-13

Symbol	Open	High	Low	Close	Stop	O->H	O->C
AFFX	27.33	27.66	27.11	27.40	27.83	0.33	0.07
ALVR	8.31	8.39	8.25	8.32	7.77	0.08	0.01
AMX	47.83	48.67	47.79	48.50	45.76	0.84	0.67
ANAD	12.12	12.13	11.91	12.10	11.40	0.01	-0.02
ANF	81.52	82.51	81.06	82.27	82.81	0.99	0.75
APCC	30.94	31.00	30.93	30.98	30.85	0.06	0.04
ARO	38.21	38.51	37.81	38.40	37.06	0.30	0.19
BEN	123.16	126.00	122.95	125.59	121.77	2.84	2.43
BG	80.15	80.55	79.86	79.92	79.85	0.40	-0.23
BGC	50.36	51.49	50.10	50.68	48.38	1.13	0.32
BIG	26.49	26.58	26.29	26.41	26.34	0.09	-0.08
CBS	31.98	32.27	31.95	31.99	31.91	0.29	0.01
CHINA	10.59	10.88	10.58	10.85	10.63	0.29	0.26
COH	48.25	49.58	47.81	49.38	47.03	1.33	1.13
CVG	26.34	26.60	26.26	26.55	26.50	0.26	0.21
DIS	34.58	34.82	34.52	34.75	34.44	0.24	0.17
DLTR	33.34	34.03	33.11	34.00	32.53	0.69	0.66
EDS	28.30	28.77	28.22	28.65	27.62	0.47	0.35
EMC	14.56	14.77	14.40	14.70	14.38	0.21	0.14
EXC	63.63	64.04	63.50	63.78	62.72	0.41	0.15
EXPE	21.68	22.49	21.64	22.27	21.65	0.81	0.59
FMCN	80.32	81.75	79.30	79.62	85.84	1.43	-0.70
GGP	63.59	65.20	63.10	64.72	65.07	1.61	1.13
GT	24.74	25.00	24.38	24.85	25.33	0.26	0.11
HAS	28.50	29.00	28.45	28.98	28.94	0.50	0.48
HCP	40.25	40.33	39.68	39.83	39.60	0.08	-0.42
HTZ	20.40	21.32	20.28	21.22	19.95	0.92	0.82
IACI	39.90	40.15	39.63	39.85	39.48	0.25	-0.05
IBN	42.24	43.67	42.00	43.61	45.89	1.43	1.37
IFX	15.98	16.24	15.95	16.18	15.68	0.26	0.20
IP	37.00	37.49	36.91	37.33	36.93	0.49	0.33
ITW	52.05	52.93	52.02	52.77	50.29	0.88	0.72
MA	104.21	108.82	104.10	108.02	113.08	4.61	3.81
MCO	71.10	72.18	71.07	71.68	74.82	1.08	0.58
MET	64.30	65.79	64.25	65.34	64.75	1.49	1.04
MNST	53.31	53.92	53.00	53.63	51.39	0.61	0.32
MRVC	4.20	4.39	4.18	4.28	4.19	0.19	0.08
NKE	105.20	105.78	104.95	105.38	100.25	0.58	0.18
NOC	74.60	74.96	73.84	74.48	73.57	0.36	-0.12
NT	30.18	30.60	29.94	30.50	29.32	0.42	0.32
NUAN	14.25	14.46	14.08	14.40	12.72	0.21	0.15
PRU	91.73	92.75	91.50	92.55	91.26	1.02	0.82
RHT	24.29	25.00	24.02	24.23	24.47	0.71	-0.06
RMBS	21.90	22.17	21.83	22.00	21.49	0.27	0.10
SONS	7.34	7.62	7.34	7.48	7.80	0.28	0.14
TGT	62.10	62.60	61.90	62.44	59.88	0.50	0.34
TIF	41.75	42.45	41.56	42.07	40.50	0.70	0.32
TROW	48.97	49.78	48.87	49.60	48.94	0.81	0.63
UBS	62.57	63.35	62.47	63.31	63.33	0.78	0.74
UIS	9.25	9.28	9.15	9.21	9.22	0.03	-0.04
URI	28.48	28.80	28.35	28.74	28.25	0.32	0.26
VNO	133.90	135.06	132.64	133.91	132.85	1.16	0.01
WLP	80.69	81.29	80.27	80.98	79.00	0.60	0.29
WYN	34.81	35.05	34.61	34.85	32.65	0.24	0.04
XEL	24.25	24.53	24.20	24.30	24.14	0.28	0.05
XL	73.00	73.44	72.75	73.10	71.56	0.44	0.10
YHOO	29.69	30.86	29.64	30.66	29.88	1.17	0.97
ZMH	84.09	84.96	83.92	84.62	85.00	0.87	0.53
	2664.80					39.91	23.41

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